@filippo > If you are thinking “well, this could be bad, or it could be nothing!” I need you to recognize how immediately dispositive that is. The bet is not “are you 100% sure a CRQC will exist in 2030?”, the bet is “are you 100% sure a CRQC will NOT exist in 2030?”
How big is the physical computer going to be?
What are the power requirements going to be?
Is this going to be a quantum CPU that doesn't need its temperature and voltage meticulously managed to prevent qubits from changing?
How many of these are we going to be able to manufacture per year?
If real, this is a super serious threat. Where are our sanctions to prevent the breakthroughs from being picked up by e.g., China? Shouldn't this be guarded like nuclear secrets? It was too dangerous for them to have Nvidia GPUs but zero policies about quantum computing as far as I know?
