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Chinese Professor Guy said this was likely. In a US/IL v. IR struggle, Russia declares that nuclear war is forbidden - positioning themselves on moral high ground while ensuring US/IL will be bogged down in miserable mountain fighting which weakens the US and gives them an opening to step up on the stage.

Israel wants the US to fight Iran because they want Iran vanquished and the US to get out of the mid east so they can expand without anyone resisting them.

Iran wants to unify the Muslim world, overthrow the kings, and establish a religious caliphate across the whole middle east. BUT, Iran has spent so long preparing for an apocalyptic war against the US that they've kind of psyched themselves up for it.

Saudi (royals) wants to survive, and Iran is a HUGE PROBLEM for them because Iran does not believe in kings. So they'll pretend to side with Iran while secretly supporting Israel.

The US wants a war to distract from their collapsing empire.

Russia wants the US tied up in the mid east so they can conquer the former USSR and unify the Orthodox world.

So - unfortunately, everybody wants the same thing so it's quite likely that it will actually happen.
Yes. I think basically everybody knows that, but the Americans might try it anyway for 2 reasons:
1. They got really lucky in Iraq, and they have developed this new doctrine that "shock and awe" is all you need, and the oppressed people will rise up and take your side.
2. They kind of don't care because it's like Wag The Dog, start a war just to distract from issues going on at home, which are far more (personally) embarrassing.

Never forget: Serious western analysts were saying that Russia was going to collapse within 6 months (of the UA invasion). Smelling your own farts (propaganda) is a huge problem for these people.

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