Egregoros

Signal feed

API Docs
Timeline

Post

Remote status

Caleb James DeLisle

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote
Open link
Interesting, EV adoption behaves like a social contagion.

2018: Norway -> 21%, Denmark -> less than 1%
2022: Norway -> 81%, Denmark -> 20%
2026: Norway -> 98%, Denmark -> 80%

Follows "gradually at first, and then all at once" pattern, on a per-country basis. So culture is definitely playing a big role.

Replies

4
Replying to @cjd@pkteerium.xyz
Caleb James DeLisle

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote
Open link
Another interesting point is that you can't tell just by looking at the chart which country is going to snap from <50% to >80% next. Denmark was behind Sweden and Netherlands, and now it is far ahead of them.

Norway is now at a point where - in another decade when majority existing cars retire off the road, smaller more rural gas stations will shut down because the economics stop making sense for them.
Replying to @cjd@pkteerium.xyz
Replying to @FourOh-LLC@pkteerium.xyz
Caleb James DeLisle

Caleb James DeLisle

@cjd@pkteerium.xyz remote
Open link
I'm sure it is, people who don't like EVs don't collect this type of data... But the thing about bias is you can cheat 2-3%, but you can't cheat 30%, and market research is one thing that's hard to be biased about - i.e. you have to outright LIE.

With some political polling, you can change how you word it, or which demographics you call, etc in order to get the answer you want with relatively clean hands. With market research, if you say Norway new cars are 98% EVs and actually they're only 5%, you are absolutely making shit up and you will get caught...
Replying to @cjd@pkteerium.xyz