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That's actually a bit LESS bonkers than I had originally thought.
Basically what JPM is saying is that once Countries That Matter start to have oil troubles, they're going to say "Look, we need this problem solved, and whoever is making trouble for getting it solved, you're gonna start losing family members in Nasty Accidents, fix this right now."
Basically what JPM is saying is that once Countries That Matter start to have oil troubles, they're going to say "Look, we need this problem solved, and whoever is making trouble for getting it solved, you're gonna start losing family members in Nasty Accidents, fix this right now."
When did Iran switch back to a monarchy?
By that logic the US is a monarchy, since we had two Bush presidents
your claim that the Iranian government would collapse if the current ayatollah is taken out is ridiculous and is the same line of thinking that got us into this mess in the first place.
@Terry @cjd @Captain_Wet_Beard I never claimed that, back to the phonics mines until your reading comprehension improves.
why is the number of ayatollah's family members relevant?
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@Terry @cjd @Captain_Wet_Beard how do you get through life with the reading comprehension of a child?
Strategy re Iran is not gonna be that, their system is too decentralized. They will be brought to heel by China who is their supplier.
But China needs oil so China needs the strait opened anyway, so interests align.
Mostly the problem here is the US, so the thinking is that pressure will be applied there.
But China needs oil so China needs the strait opened anyway, so interests align.
Mostly the problem here is the US, so the thinking is that pressure will be applied there.
@cjd @Captain_Wet_Beard @Terry I would be surprised if China doesn't start getting their oil overland via the Turkic SSRs or even Afghanistan, though Afghanistan is pretty off the table since they're fighting Pakistan and China will always be at least hands off with Pakistan due to their respective relationships with India